Story
August 29, 2026
Nvidia’s AI Jackpot Silences the Bulls’ Doubts—But Not the Financing Questions
Nvidia’s $96.2 billion quarter and extraordinary growth forecast revived confidence in the AI spending boom. Yet supply bottlenecks, shrinking margins and enormous guarantees for AI partners leave investors testing how durable that boom really is.
Nvidia’s results gave AI optimists fresh proof that spending is translating into revenue, while skeptics were left to focus on the unusually intertwined financing, supply and cost pressures beneath the headline numbers.
The story began with a quarter that eclipsed expectations. For the three months ending July 26, Nvidia reported $96.2 billion in revenue, up 106% year on year, while data-center sales hit $89 billion and net income rose to $59.7 billion.1 Jensen Huang argued the numbers reflected a decisive turn for the technology: “AI has reached its inflection point. It’s doing useful work. Its tokens are productive and profitable.”2
Then came the more startling signal: a rare forecast that revenue would grow 70% in fiscal 2028, far above the roughly 44% growth analysts had anticipated. Huang called the coming year “pretty extraordinary,” while CFO Colette Kress said demand was broader than Big Tech, with sovereign AI, regional clouds, enterprise and edge customers expected to make up roughly half of data-center business.3 Investor Dan Ives called it a “masterpiece quarter,” saying the guidance underscored massive AI demand.4
That triumph did not erase the caveats. Huang said the company’s entire supply chain was “really running flat out”; memory scarcity is lifting costs, and Nvidia expects gross margins to ease before stabilizing.3 The company’s strongest defense is that tight supply is itself evidence of demand. But its financial relationships remain a harder sell: Nvidia disclosed up to $108.5 billion in gross guarantee exposure, largely connected to an Ohio campus that will host Nvidia computing leased to OpenAI.3
Kress rejected the “circular financing” charge, insisting independent capital evaluates every transaction and Nvidia is “not making loans.”3 On X, David Sacks declared the AI-capex-bubble narrative was being “shredded,” citing Nvidia’s revenue, profit and forecast.
5 Elon Musk amplified research arguing that official U.S. GDP figures miss much of Nvidia’s contribution to the economy.
6
For now, Nvidia has supplied a powerful answer to doubts about demand. The next test is whether customers can earn enough from AI to justify the escalating infrastructure bill.