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This Atlantic hurricane season is looking like a dud, but there will be a price to pay
“The models are forecasting something outside the envelope of anything we have ever observed.”
TL;DR
- The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be below normal in activity.
- A strengthening El Niño in the Pacific is the primary driver of lower hurricane activity due to increased wind shear in the Atlantic.
- Forecasters have revised downward their predictions for named storms and hurricanes this season.
- Despite fewer hurricanes, the El Niño may become one of the strongest on record.
- This strong El Niño is expected to contribute to global temperature increases, potentially making 2027 the hottest year on record.